Go Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Go Ahead Eagles drew with NEC Nijmegen 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Koki Ogawa for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Milan Smit for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Linssen | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Koki Ogawa | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tjaronn Chery | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Virgil Misidjan | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Milan Smit | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Breum | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oscar Pettersson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Melle Meulensteen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Richonell Margaret | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sami Ouaissa | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thomas Ouwejan | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tjaronn Chery | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 4 | ✓ |
| Darko Nejašmić | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles Sep 2026
- NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles May 2026
- NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Go Ahead Eagles Mar 2025
- Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC Nijmegen Dec 2024
- NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Go Ahead Eagles May 2024
- Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 NEC Nijmegen Jan 2024
- NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles Nov 2023
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 NEC Nijmegen Feb 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Go Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Go Ahead Eagles v NEC Nijmegen?
The most confident call it got wrong was Milan Smit at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.