Go Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Go Ahead Eagles drew with Sparta Rotterdam 3–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Milan Zonneveld for 1+ shots total (96%, had 2). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Milan Zonneveld | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Casper Terho | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Søren Tengstedt | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thibo Baeten | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Robin van Cruijsen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Babadi | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 5 | ✓ |
| Milan Zonneveld | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Søren Tengstedt | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cedric Hatenboer | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jens Toornstra | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles May 2026
- Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam Aug 2025
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam Feb 2025
- Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Go Ahead Eagles Sep 2024
- Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles Jan 2024
- Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam Oct 2023
- Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles Feb 2023
- Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Go Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam?
14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Go Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.