Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II Tilburg
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Go Ahead Eagles beat Willem II Tilburg 4–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Eser Gürbüz for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Per van Loon for 1+ shots total (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eser Gürbüz | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Søren Tengstedt | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Devin Haen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jaden Slory | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Uriel van Aalst | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Per van Loon | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Eser Gürbüz | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kasper Boogaard | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Melle Meulensteen | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Willem II Tilburg Mar 2025
- Willem II Tilburg 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles Aug 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II Tilburg?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II Tilburg?
The most confident call it got wrong was Per van Loon at 74% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.