RKC Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before RKC Waalwijk lost to Fortuna Sittard 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Alen Halilović for 1+ shots total (91%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Kristoffer Peterson for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Ihattaren | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 6 | ✓ |
| Alen Halilović | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bojan Radulović | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kristoffer Peterson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Bullaude | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alessio Da Cruz | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yassin Oukili | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Richonell Margaret | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michiel Kramer | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Édouard Michut | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Syb Van Ottele | shots total | 1+ | 68% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Bastien | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan Fosso | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tim van de Loo | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Fortuna Sittard 3–2 RKC Waalwijk Dec 2024
- RKC Waalwijk 0–1 Fortuna Sittard Feb 2024
- Fortuna Sittard 1–0 RKC Waalwijk Dec 2023
- RKC Waalwijk 3–1 Fortuna Sittard Feb 2023
- Fortuna Sittard 0–0 RKC Waalwijk Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on RKC Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on RKC Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard?
The most confident call it got wrong was Kristoffer Peterson at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.