RKC Waalwijk v Go Ahead Eagles
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before RKC Waalwijk beat Go Ahead Eagles 5–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Victor Edvardsen for 1+ shots total (91%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Oskar Siira Sivertsen for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
A side with nothing left to play for changed more of its eleven last season — 71.7% of the previous starting XI retained against 75.9%, the same direction in every league measured. It does not move fouls or cards.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Pettersson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Chris Lokesa | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jakob Breum | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Oskar Siira Sivertsen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Finn Stokkers | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Ihattaren | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Richonell Margaret | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michiel Kramer | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yassin Oukili | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 5 | ✓ |
| Enric Llansana | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jakob Breum | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tim van de Loo | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 RKC Waalwijk Aug 2024
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 RKC Waalwijk Mar 2024
- RKC Waalwijk 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles Nov 2023
- Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 RKC Waalwijk Apr 2023
- RKC Waalwijk 3–1 Go Ahead Eagles Feb 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on RKC Waalwijk v Go Ahead Eagles?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on RKC Waalwijk v Go Ahead Eagles?
The most confident call it got wrong was Oskar Siira Sivertsen at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.