Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sparta Rotterdam drew with PEC Zwolle 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Milan Zonneveld for 1+ shots total (94%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Odysseus Velanas for 1+ shots total (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
5 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Zonneveld | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Casper Terho | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mitchell Van Bergen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Koen Kostons | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Shunsuke Mito | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 5 | ✓ |
| Thijs Oosting | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Babadi | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Milan Zonneveld | shots on target | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tobias Sommer | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Odysseus Velanas | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Mbayo | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Cedric Hatenboer | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Julian Baas | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle Mar 2026
- PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam Nov 2025
- Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle Mar 2025
- PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam Nov 2024
- Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PEC Zwolle Feb 2024
- PEC Zwolle 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam Aug 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle?
The most confident call it got wrong was Odysseus Velanas at 77% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.