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Eredivisie 22/23
BU

Burak Yılmaz

Forward Fortuna SittardEredivisie 22/23

Next match
Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 24 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.61 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Total shots2.23 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
Fouls won2.02 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Tackles0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
Goals0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 103.3×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Burak Yılmaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Burak Yılmaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AFC Ajax9 Apr 79 0 1 1 1 0 0
FC Groningen2 Apr 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ FC Volendam17 Mar 90 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ FC Utrecht3 Mar 90 0 3 0 0 0 0
Feyenoord26 Feb 90 0 1 1 2 0 0
@ RKC Waalwijk17 Feb 90 2 5 0 5 2 1
Sparta Rotterdam3 Feb 90 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ SC Cambuur29 Jan 90 2 5 0 3 0 1
SC Heerenveen25 Jan 90 1 3 0 3 0 0
@ AZ Alkmaar22 Jan 90 1 2 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Dennis Higler 3 games Burak Yılmaz booked in 1 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league
Manschot, Jeroen 3 games Burak Yılmaz booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Burak Yılmaz have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Burak Yılmaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Burak Yılmaz average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Burak Yılmaz is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 2.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Burak Yılmaz get booked?

Burak Yılmaz is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Burak Yılmaz commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Burak Yılmaz commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 2.02 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Burak Yılmaz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Burak Yılmaz plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.