What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Julián Carranza has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Julián Carranza featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ SC Heerenveen18 May | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RKC Waalwijk14 May | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| PSV Eindhoven11 May | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fortuna Sittard12 Apr | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AZ Alkmaar5 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| FC Groningen2 Apr | 65 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Go Ahead Eagles30 Mar | 79 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| NEC Nijmegen1 Mar | 73 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Almere City FC22 Feb | 62 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NAC Breda15 Feb | 74 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Julián Carranza have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Julián Carranza has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Julián Carranza average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Julián Carranza is averaging 0.64 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Julián Carranza get booked?
Julián Carranza is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Julián Carranza commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Julián Carranza commits 2.55 fouls per 90 and wins 2.34 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Julián Carranza?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Julián Carranza plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.