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Eredivisie 25/26
JU

Justin Lonwijk

Midfielder Fortuna SittardEredivisie 25/26

Next match
Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 30 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie midfielder, 25/26, 2,886 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.78 per 90
50%
5 of 101.9×
Total shots2.03 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
Fouls won1.41 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed1.56 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Tackles1.88 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
Goals0.62 per 90
40%
4 of 104.3×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Justin Lonwijk has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Justin Lonwijk featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
AZ Alkmaar21 Dec 72 1 1 1 1 2 0
@ PEC Zwolle13 Dec 59 0 1 1 2 1 1
AFC Ajax6 Dec 19 0 2 0 1 0 0
@ Sparta Rotterdam22 Nov 8 0 0 1 0 1 0
SC Heerenveen8 Nov 45 0 1 2 0 1 0
@ PSV Eindhoven31 Oct 76 1 2 1 1 1 0
FC Groningen25 Oct 90 1 1 0 1 2 0
@ Excelsior19 Oct 90 0 1 2 2 3 0
FC Volendam4 Oct 81 1 3 1 1 1 0
@ FC Twente26 Sep 36 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Manschot, Jeroen 4 games Justin Lonwijk booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league
Jannick van der Laan 3 games Justin Lonwijk booked in 1 3.07cards/game 0.96×vs league
Van den Kerkhof, Martin 3 games Justin Lonwijk never booked 2.56cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Justin Lonwijk have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Justin Lonwijk has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Justin Lonwijk average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Justin Lonwijk is averaging 0.78 shots on target and 2.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Justin Lonwijk get booked?

Justin Lonwijk is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Justin Lonwijk commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Justin Lonwijk commits 1.56 fouls per 90 and wins 1.41 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Justin Lonwijk?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Justin Lonwijk plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.