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Eredivisie 26/27
MO

Morgan Costarelli

Defender SC CambuurEredivisie 26/27

Next match
SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 8 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 8 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.17 per 90
12%
1 of 80.8×
3.75bet365Edge
Total shots0.52 per 90
38%
3 of 81.0×
1.80bet365Edge
Fouls won1.21 per 90
50%
4 of 81.2×
Fouls committed1.21 per 90
62%
5 of 81.2×
Tackles2.07 per 90
75%Hot
6 of 81.1×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.17 per 90
12%
1 of 80.9×
4.33bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 8
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 8
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Morgan Costarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 8

Recent matches

The last 8 games Morgan Costarelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ PEC Zwolle11 Oct 90 0 0 2 2 2 1
@ ADO Den Haag19 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
NEC Nijmegen12 Sep 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ SC Telstar6 Sep 72 0 0 1 2 2 0
FC Twente30 Aug 45 0 0 0 2 0 0
Feyenoord23 Aug 45 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Fortuna Sittard15 Aug 45 0 0 1 1 0 0
Excelsior7 Aug 45 0 1 1 0 4 0

Frequently asked

How often does Morgan Costarelli have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Morgan Costarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Morgan Costarelli average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Morgan Costarelli is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 0.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Morgan Costarelli get booked?

Morgan Costarelli is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Morgan Costarelli commit or win more fouls?

This season Morgan Costarelli commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 1.21 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morgan Costarelli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Morgan Costarelli plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.