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Eredivisie 24/25
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Tommy St Jago

Defender Willem II TilburgEredivisie 24/25

Next match
Willem II Tilburg at Sparta Rotterdam›
Sat 17 OctReferee Serdar Gozubuyuk
Last games
max 36 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Total shots0.51 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
Fouls won0.61 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.81 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles3.66 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 102.3×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Tommy St Jago has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tommy St Jago featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
SC Telstar1 Jun 90 0 0 3 0 4 1
@ SC Telstar29 May 90 0 1 1 0 5 0
FC Dordrecht24 May 120 1 1 0 0 4 0
@ NAC Breda18 May 45 1 1 0 0 1 0
PEC Zwolle14 May 90 0 0 0 1 6 0
Heracles Almelo9 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ NEC Nijmegen3 May 90 0 1 0 1 5 0
@ Fortuna Sittard27 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 5 0
AFC Ajax13 Apr 90 0 0 1 2 4 0
@ SC Heerenveen4 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
Officials on record
Manschot, Jeroen 4 games Tommy St Jago booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league
Allard Lindhout 4 games Tommy St Jago never booked 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league
Danny Makkelie 3 games Tommy St Jago booked in 2 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Joey Kooij 3 games Tommy St Jago booked in 1 3.37cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tommy St Jago have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Tommy St Jago has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tommy St Jago average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Tommy St Jago is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tommy St Jago get booked?

Tommy St Jago is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tommy St Jago commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tommy St Jago commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 0.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tommy St Jago?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tommy St Jago plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.