Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Midtjylland
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Maccabi Tel Aviv lost to FC Midtjylland 0–3, the SharpXI model made 13 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Philip Billing for 1+ tackles (97%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Kevin Mbabu for 1+ tackles (85%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
10 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Billing | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 2 | ✓ |
| Philip Billing | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Philip Billing | fouls committed | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin Mbabu | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin Mbabu | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martin Erlić | fouls committed | 1+ | 67% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin Mbabu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 61% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martin Erlić | fouls drawn | 1+ | 61% | 1 | ✓ |
| Philip Billing | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martin Erlić | tackles | 1+ | 59% | 2 | ✓ |
| Martin Erlić | shots total | 1+ | 51% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | shots total | 1+ | 49% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–2 FC Midtjylland Oct 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Midtjylland?
8 of its 13 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Midtjylland?
The most confident call it got wrong was Kevin Mbabu at 85% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.