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UEFA Europa League 25/26

Real Betis v Feyenoord

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Betis2 – 1 Feyenoord 29 Jan 2026
14/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Real Betis beat Feyenoord 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Antony for 1+ shots total (94%, had 4). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Nikola Dabanovic refereed this match

13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli shots total 1+ 94% 6 ✓
Antony shots total 1+ 94% 4 ✓
Chimy Ávila shots total 1+ 94% 4 ✓
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli fouls drawn 1+ 94% 2 ✓
Chimy Ávila fouls drawn 1+ 92% 1 ✓
Nelson Deossa fouls drawn 1+ 92% 4 ✓
Angel Ortiz tackles 1+ 89% 4 ✓
Cyle Larin fouls committed 1+ 86% 2 ✓
Marc Roca tackles 1+ 85% 1 ✓
Jordan Lotomba tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Valentín Gómez tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Nelson Deossa tackles 1+ 85% 4 ✓
Oussama Targhalline tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles Fouls committed

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Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Real Betis v Feyenoord?

14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Real Betis v Feyenoord?

Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.