La Liga · 24/25

Atlético Madrid v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atlético Madrid3 – 1 Leganés 20 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Julián Alvarez	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	92%	7	✓
Samuel Lino	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Ángel Correa	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Ángel Correa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Rodrigo De Paul	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Ángel Correa	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Rodrigo Riquelme	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Antoine Griezmann	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Giuliano Simeone	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Miguel de la Fuente	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Samuel Lino	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	42%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	31%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	28%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Atlético Madrid & Leganés player stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Leganés 1–0 Atlético Madrid Jan 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works