La Liga · 25/26
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Atlético Madrid v Real Oviedo
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Atlético Madrid2 – 0
Real Oviedo
29 Nov 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Griezmann | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alexander Sørloth | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 8 | ✓ |
| Julián Alvarez | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolás González | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alexander Sørloth | shots on target | 1+ | 97% | 4 | ✓ |
| Alex Baena | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Viñas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Conor Gallagher | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giuliano Simeone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicolás González | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Haissem Hassan | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pablo Barrios | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Conor Gallagher | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Salomón Rondón | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 62% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 21% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Atlético Madrid & Real Oviedo player stats→
Atlético Madrid players & stats→
Real Oviedo players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Oviedo 0–1 Atlético Madrid Feb 2026
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.