La Liga · 22/23

Elche v Real Valladolid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Elche1 – 1 Real Valladolid 11 Mar 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Cyle Larin	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Ezequiel Ponce	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	92%	9	✓
Óscar Plano	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Gonzalo Plata	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Darwin Machís	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Óscar Plano	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Iván Sánchez	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
José Ángel Carmona	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Ezequiel Ponce	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Randy Nteka	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Tete Morente	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Enzo Roco	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	57%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	53%	10 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Elche & Real Valladolid player stats→ Elche players & stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Valladolid 2–1 Elche Nov 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works