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La Liga · 24/25

Espanyol v Las Palmas

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Espanyol2 – 0 Las Palmas 24 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jaime Mata fouls committed 1+ 100% 1
Jaime Mata shots total 1+ 92% 2
Diego Martín shots total 1+ 92% 1
Adnan Januzaj shots total 1+ 91% 0
Pere Milla shots total 1+ 91% 2
Javi Puado shots total 1+ 91% 2
Alejo Véliz fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Adnan Januzaj fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Manuel Fuster fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Jaime Mata fouls drawn 1+ 88% 1
Jofre Carreras fouls drawn 1+ 88% 1
Pol Lozano fouls committed 1+ 87% 1
Alejo Véliz shots total 1+ 80% 1
Roberto Fernández shots total 1+ 80% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 58% 5 cards
Btts Yes 44% No
Match goals O2.5 40% 2 goals

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.