La Liga · 24/25

Espanyol v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Espanyol1 – 1 Leganés 11 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Javi Puado	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Alejo Véliz	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Antoniu Roca	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Edu Expósito	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Jofre Carreras	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Yvan Neyou	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Pol Lozano	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Javier Hernández	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Jofre Carreras	shots total	1+	80%	6	✓
Juan Cruz	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Edu Expósito	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Miguel de la Fuente	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	44%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	41%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	37%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Espanyol & Leganés player stats→ Espanyol players & stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Leganés 3–2 Espanyol May 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works