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La Liga · 23/24

Granada v Real Sociedad

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Granada2 – 3 Real Sociedad 9 Mar 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Sergio Ruiz fouls drawn 1+ 100% 0
Umar Sadiq fouls committed 1+ 100% 3
Gonzalo Villar fouls drawn 1+ 95% 1
André Silva shots total 1+ 91% 1
Brais Méndez shots total 1+ 91% 2
Umar Sadiq shots total 1+ 91% 1
Sheraldo Becker shots total 1+ 91% 1
Mikel Merino fouls committed 1+ 90% 2
Brais Méndez fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Lucas Boyé fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Kamil Jóźwiak fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Mikel Merino fouls drawn 1+ 88% 3
Facundo Pellistri fouls drawn 1+ 88% 2
Brais Méndez fouls committed 1+ 87% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 62% 3 cards
Btts Yes 46% Yes
Match goals O2.5 41% 5 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.