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La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Las Palmas

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés2 – 1 Las Palmas 25 Aug 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Sandro Ramírez shots total 1+ 98% 4
Oli McBurnie shots total 1+ 92% 3
Miguel de la Fuente shots total 1+ 91% 2
Alberto Moleiro shots total 1+ 91% 0
Óscar Rodríguez shots total 1+ 91% 1
Dani Raba shots total 1+ 91% 3
Javier Hernández fouls committed 1+ 83% 2
Javier Muñoz shots total 1+ 80% 0
Kirian Rodríguez shots total 1+ 80% 1
Viti Rozada shots total 1+ 80% 0
Sandro Ramírez fouls drawn 1+ 79% 1
Miguel de la Fuente fouls drawn 1+ 79% 0
Oli McBurnie fouls drawn 1+ 78% 2
Juan Cruz shots total 1+ 76% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 55% Yes
Match goals O2.5 52% 3 goals
Match cards O4.5 41% 2 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.