La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Osasuna

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés1 – 1 Osasuna 7 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	100%	1	✓
Ante Budimir	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Diego García	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	5	✓
Aimar Oroz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Lucas Torró	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Diego García	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Munir El Haddadi	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Miguel de la Fuente	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Aimar Oroz	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Yvan Neyou	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Renato Tapia	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Miguel de la Fuente	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	32%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Leganés & Osasuna player stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Osasuna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Osasuna 1–1 Leganés Aug 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works