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La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Real Sociedad

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés0 – 3 Real Sociedad 8 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Mikel Oyarzabal shots total 1+ 91% 3
Brais Méndez fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Miguel de la Fuente fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Takefusa Kubo fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Yvan Neyou fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Óscar Rodríguez fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Diego García fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Brais Méndez fouls committed 1+ 87% 2
Brais Méndez shots total 1+ 83% 2
Diego García shots total 1+ 80% 1
Óscar Rodríguez shots total 1+ 80% 5
Takefusa Kubo shots total 1+ 80% 2
Jon Ander Olasagasti shots total 1+ 80% 1
Luka Sučić shots total 1+ 80% 2

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 41% 4 cards
Btts Yes 34% No
Match goals O2.5 29% 3 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.