La Liga · 23/24

Rayo Vallecano v Granada

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Rayo Vallecano2 – 1 Granada 15 May 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	100%	3	✓
Theo Corbeanu	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Matías Arezo	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Miguel Crespo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
José Callejón	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Óscar Melendo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Sergio Ruiz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Isi Palazón	fouls drawn	1+	89%	5	✓
Facundo Pellistri	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Unai López	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Óscar Valentín	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	65%	8 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	38%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Rayo Vallecano & Granada player stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Granada players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Granada 0–2 Rayo Vallecano Aug 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works