La Liga · 24/25
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Rayo Vallecano v Leganés
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Rayo Vallecano1 – 1
Leganés
28 Sep 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 5 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isi Palazón | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Isi Palazón | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Darko Brašanac | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Óscar Valentín | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Randy Nteka | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Unai López | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Javier Hernández | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Renato Tapia | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sergio Camello | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sébastien Haller | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Álvaro García | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge de Frutos | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
| Roberto López | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 46% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 33% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 29% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Rayo Vallecano & Leganés player stats→
Rayo Vallecano players & stats→
Leganés players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Leganés 0–1 Rayo Vallecano Jan 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.