La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Athletic Club

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo1 – 2 Athletic Club 15 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nico Serrano	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Gorka Guruzeta	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Iñaki Williams	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Oihan Sancet	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls committed	1+	87%	5	✓
Santiago Colombatto	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Ilyas Chaira	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Federico Viñas	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Ilyas Chaira	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Alejandro Rego Mora	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Robert Navarro	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Haissem Hassan	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Thiago Fernández	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	47%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	43%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	41%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Athletic Club player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Athletic Club players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Athletic Club 1–0 Real Oviedo Nov 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works