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La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Real Sociedad

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo1 – 0 Real Sociedad 30 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jon Karrikaburu shots on target 1+ 100% 0
Brais Méndez shots total 1+ 100% 0
Ander Barrenetxea shots total 1+ 100% 1
Orri Óskarsson shots total 1+ 100% 1
Gonçalo Guedes shots total 1+ 100% 0
Jon Karrikaburu shots total 1+ 100% 0
Mikel Oyarzabal shots total 1+ 100% 4
Takefusa Kubo shots total 1+ 98% 2
Pablo Marín shots total 1+ 92% 2
Jon Gorrotxategi shots total 1+ 91% 1
Federico Viñas shots total 1+ 91% 0
Federico Viñas fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Ovie Ejaria fouls drawn 1+ 88% 2
Ilyas Chaira fouls drawn 1+ 88% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 42% No
Match goals O2.5 38% 1 goals
Match cards O4.5 18% 3 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.