La Liga · 22/23

Real Valladolid v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Valladolid1 – 0 Almería 5 Sep 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Sergi Guardiola	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Óscar Plano	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Dyego Sousa	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Lucas Robertone	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Sergi Guardiola	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Iván Sánchez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	4	✓
Pozo	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Sergio Akieme	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Samú Costa	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Roque Mesa	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Álvaro Aguado	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	59%	7 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	29%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	20%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Real Valladolid & Almería player stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Almería 0–0 Real Valladolid May 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works