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La Liga · 24/25

Sevilla v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sevilla2 – 2 Leganés 4 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Munir El Haddadi fouls drawn 1+ 100% 5
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual shots total 1+ 96% 2
Isaac Romero shots total 1+ 92% 1
Dodi Lukebakio shots total 1+ 92% 7
Saúl Ñíguez shots total 1+ 91% 2
Duk shots total 1+ 91% 1
Óscar Rodríguez shots total 1+ 91% 2
Peque Fernández fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Dani Raba fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Suso fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Duk fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual fouls drawn 1+ 88% 1
Yan Diomande fouls drawn 1+ 88% 0
Lucien Agoumé fouls committed 1+ 87% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 60% 9 cards
Btts Yes 46% Yes
Match goals O2.5 44% 4 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.