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La Liga 26/27
PA

Pape Gueye

Central midfielder 97% of 30 recent starts VillarrealLa Liga 26/27

Also in: Ligue 1

Next match
Villarreal at Real Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.61 per 90
40%
4 of 102.4×
2.85MGMEdge
Total shots1.11 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
1.30MGMEdge
Fouls won2.09 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.36PPEdge
Tackles0.86 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
33%
3 of 94.0×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
3.00PPEdge
Goals0.49 per 90
30%
3 of 105.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Pape Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Pape Gueye in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 28 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Pape GueyeVillarreal 71.03 0.86
Mario SorianoDeportivo de A Coruña 71.24 0.89
Filip UgrinićValencia 71.06 0.71
Carlos SolerReal Sociedad 70.96 0.57
Pablo FornalsReal Betis 61.78 0.79
Iker MuñozOsasuna 60.38 1.89
These 5, combined 1.08 0.97

Recent matches

The last 10 games Pape Gueye featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Levante UD20 Sep 87 0 0 0 3 0 0
@ Málaga CF17 Sep 53 2 2 0 1 0 0
Real Betis14 Sep 54 0 0 1 1 0 0
Deportivo de A Coruña5 Sep 62 1 1 0 3 0 0
@ Deportivo Alavés30 Aug 90 0 0 2 2 1 0
@ Atlético Madrid23 Aug 90 0 2 1 2 1 0
@ Real Racing Club16 Aug 90 1 1 1 2 1 1
Atlético Madrid24 May 75 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ Rayo Vallecano17 May 72 0 0 2 0 1 0
Sevilla13 May 60 0 1 0 3 1 0
Officials on record
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez 7 games Pape Gueye booked in 2 4.80cards/game 0.99×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 7 games Pape Gueye booked in 2 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Jesus Gil Manzano 6 games Pape Gueye booked in 1 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 6 games Pape Gueye booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Pape Gueye have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Pape Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Pape Gueye average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Pape Gueye is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 1.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Pape Gueye get booked?

Pape Gueye is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Pape Gueye commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Pape Gueye commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 2.09 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pape Gueye?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Pape Gueye plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.