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La Liga 22/23
RO

Roque Mesa

Central midfielder 95% of 20 recent starts Real ValladolidLa Liga 22/23

Last games
max 29 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.43 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
Total shots1.49 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.21 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.91 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
Tackles0.85 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
20%
2 of 102.4×
Cards0.85 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Roque Mesa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Roque Mesa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Getafe4 Jun 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Almería28 May 65 0 1 1 0 0 0
FC Barcelona23 May 56 0 0 1 0 1 0
Sevilla14 May 10 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Rayo Vallecano4 May 24 0 0 1 1 0 0
Girona FC22 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Villarreal15 Apr 23 0 0 2 0 2 1
Mallorca9 Apr 66 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ Real Madrid2 Apr 45 1 3 0 0 0 0
@ Elche11 Mar 43 0 0 2 0 1 2
Officials on record
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 4 games Roque Mesa never booked 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current La Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Roque Mesa have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Roque Mesa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Roque Mesa average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Roque Mesa is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 1.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Roque Mesa get booked?

Roque Mesa is averaging 0.85 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Roque Mesa commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Roque Mesa commits 1.91 fouls per 90 and wins 0.21 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Roque Mesa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Roque Mesa plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.