César Soto Grado
Over his last 10 La Liga games, César Soto Grado has averaged 4.50 cards a match — 8% below the league average of 4.88. That splits 4.0 yellow and 0.5 red a game — a red in 4 of the 10. The away side sees more of them — 2.7 to 1.8 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of them (4 of 10), and he turned 20.7% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 25 penalties in 83 matches, 0.30 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls César Soto Grado turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every La Liga season on record.
| Measure | Grado | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.31 | 4.88 |
| vs league | 1.09× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 21.7% | 19.2% |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 25.4 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 25 in 83 | — |
| Red cards shown | 29 | — |
| Matches on record | 83 (19 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 La Liga games César Soto Grado took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo v Getafe10 May | 0–0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Real Betis v Real Madrid24 Apr | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Mallorca v Valencia21 Apr | 1–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Deportivo Alavés v Osasuna5 Apr | 2–2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Rayo Vallecano v Levante UD16 Mar | 1–1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Real Oviedo v Atlético Madrid28 Feb | 0–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Girona FC v FC Barcelona16 Feb | 2–1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| Mallorca v Sevilla2 Feb | 4–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does César Soto Grado give per game?
César Soto Grado averages 5.31 cards a game across 83 La Liga matches — 9% above the league average of 4.88. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.09.
Is César Soto Grado a strict referee?
Yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and César Soto Grado runs at 21.7% against a league average of 19.2%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does César Soto Grado's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is César Soto Grado's card rate?
It rests on 83 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.