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La Liga referee · card profile
FR

Francisco Hernandez Maeso

La Liga referee · 53 matches on record · 17.2% conversion

Over his last 10 La Liga games, Francisco Hernandez Maeso has averaged 3.40 cards a match — 30% below the league average of 4.88. That splits 3.3 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. Home and away sides fare about the same under him (1.7 v 1.7 a game), where the league tilts +0.2 toward the away side. 5+ cards landed in 30% of them (3 of 10), and he turned 12.1% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 16 penalties in 53 matches, 0.30 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Francisco Hernandez Maeso's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts in games he took charge of. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Francisco Hernandez Maeso turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every La Liga season on record.

MeasureMaeso League avg
Cards / match4.32 4.88
vs league0.89× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion17.2% 19.2%
Fouls / match25.2 25.4
Penalties awarded / match0.30 0.32
Penalties awarded (total)16 in 53
Red cards shown6
Matches on record53 (16 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 La Liga games Francisco Hernandez Maeso took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Celta Vigo v Sevilla23 May 1–0 2 2 0 0 31
Espanyol v Athletic Club13 May 2–0 0 0 0 0 23
Girona FC v Mallorca1 May 0–1 6 6 0 0 33
Getafe v FC Barcelona25 Apr 0–2 4 4 0 0 23
Elche v Valencia11 Apr 1–0 2 2 0 0 33
Getafe v Real Betis8 Mar 2–0 5 5 0 0 27
Levante UD v Deportivo Alavés27 Feb 2–0 7 6 1 0 30
Real Madrid v Real Sociedad14 Feb 4–1 2 2 0 3 19

Frequently asked

How many cards does Francisco Hernandez Maeso give per game?

Francisco Hernandez Maeso averages 4.32 cards a game across 53 La Liga matches — 11% below the league average of 4.88. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.89.

Is Francisco Hernandez Maeso a strict referee?

No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Francisco Hernandez Maeso runs at 17.2% against a league average of 19.2%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Francisco Hernandez Maeso's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Francisco Hernandez Maeso's card rate?

It rests on 53 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.