Miguel Nogueira
Match cards last 2 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Miguel Nogueira turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Ligue 1 season on record.
| Measure | Nogueira | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.50 | 3.89 |
| vs league | 1.16× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Fouls / match | 28.5 | 24.6 |
| Red cards shown | 2 | — |
| Matches on record | 2 (0 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 2 Ligue 1 games Miguel Nogueira took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes v Le Havre26 Nov | 0–0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Lille v Angers13 Nov | 1–0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
Miguel Nogueira has officiated only 2 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.
Frequently asked
How many cards does Miguel Nogueira give per game?
Miguel Nogueira averages 4.50 cards a game across 2 Ligue 1 matches — 16% above the league average of 3.89. That's a raw rate from only 2 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.
Is Miguel Nogueira a strict referee?
About average. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Miguel Nogueira runs at 15.8% against a league average of 15.8%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Miguel Nogueira's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Miguel Nogueira's card rate?
It rests on 2 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.