Miguel Nogueira
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Miguel Nogueira has officiated, the average is 4.60 cards a match — 11% below the league average of 5.17. That splits 4.4 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.7 to 1.9 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 60% of those games (6 of 10), from a 17.2% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Miguel Nogueira turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Nogueira | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.47 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 0.86× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 25.1 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 17 | — |
| Matches on record | 64 (5 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Miguel Nogueira took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense v Gil Vicente9 Oct | 0–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 26 |
| FC Porto v Benfica20 Sep | 3–1 | 8 1 red | 7 | 1 | 29 |
| Académico Viseu FC v FC Porto29 Aug | 0–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Famalicão v Marítimo16 Aug | 1–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Vitória SC v FC Arouca8 Aug | 0–1 | 7 1 red | 6 | 1 | 16 |
| Estoril Praia v Benfica16 May | 1–3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| CD Nacional v FC Alverca18 Apr | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| Santa Clara v Rio Ave11 Apr | 0–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 30 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Miguel Nogueira give per game?
Miguel Nogueira averages 4.47 cards a game across 64 Primeira Liga matches — 14% below the league average of 5.17. On a Miguel Nogueira appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.86.
Is Miguel Nogueira a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Miguel Nogueira runs at 17.8% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Miguel Nogueira's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Miguel Nogueira's card rate?
It rests on 64 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.