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Premier League · 25/26
HA

Harry Toffolo

Defender · Nottingham Forest · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Harry Toffolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, and 1+ foul won in 0%. He has been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 46 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.24
0%0 of 10
0.00
30%3 of 10
0.73
20%2 of 10
0.48
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harry Toffolo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Tottenham21 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1
@ Everton29 Dec 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ Brentford21 Dec 1 0 0 0 0 0
Bournemouth17 Aug 36 0 1 0 0 0
@ Burnley19 May 90 0 0 0 0 0
Chelsea11 May 18 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sheffield United4 May 13 0 0 1 0 0
Fulham2 Apr 13 0 0 0 0 0
Crystal Palace30 Mar 13 0 0 0 0 0
@ Luton16 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 1

Frequently asked

How often does Harry Toffolo have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Harry Toffolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Harry Toffolo average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Harry Toffolo is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.24 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harry Toffolo get booked?

Harry Toffolo is averaging 0.48 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harry Toffolo commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Harry Toffolo commits 0.73 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Toffolo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Harry Toffolo plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.