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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
NI

Nikola Milenković

Centre-back 97% of 30 recent starts Nottingham ForestPremier League 26/27

Also in: Serie A

Next match
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace›
Sun 11 OctReferee Peter Bankes

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50PPEdge
Total shots0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
2.25PPEdge
Fouls won0.42 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.80PPEdge
Fouls committed1.37 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.8×
1.67PPEdge
Tackles1.47 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nikola Milenković has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Nikola Milenković in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nikola MilenkovićNottingham Forest 380.43 0.56
Rúben DiasManchester City 260.42 0.63
Maxime EstèveRB Leipzig 340.31 0.40
Pau TorresAston Villa 210.48 0.38
Trevoh ChalobahComo 340.52 0.65
Tyrone MingsAston Villa 170.61 0.68
These 5, combined 0.45 0.54

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nikola Milenković featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Tottenham5 Sep 90 0 0 1 1 2 1
@ Liverpool29 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
Leeds22 Aug 90 0 2 3 1 0 0
Bournemouth24 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Man Utd17 May 90 0 1 0 1 1 0
Newcastle10 May 90 0 0 2 0 1 0
@ Chelsea4 May 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sunderland24 Apr 90 0 0 3 1 3 0
Burnley19 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Aston Villa12 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
Officials on record
Samuel Barrott 8 games Nikola Milenković never booked 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league
Craig Pawson 7 games Nikola Milenković booked in 2 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Michael Oliver 7 games Nikola Milenković booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Darren England 6 games Nikola Milenković booked in 1 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nikola Milenković have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nikola Milenković has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nikola Milenković average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nikola Milenković is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nikola Milenković get booked?

Nikola Milenković is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nikola Milenković commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nikola Milenković commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.42 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nikola Milenković?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nikola Milenković plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.