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Premier League 26/27
LE

Levi Colwill

Centre-back 90% of 30 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
5.50PPEdge
Total shots0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.80PPEdge
Fouls won0.54 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.65 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles1.18 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 102.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Levi Colwill has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Levi Colwill in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 66 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Levi ColwillChelsea 30.00 0.40
Maxime EstèveRB Leipzig 340.31 0.40
Hjalmar EkdalBurnley 190.35 0.29
Bafodé DiakitéBournemouth 180.07 0.56
William SalibaArsenal 310.17 0.76
Pau TorresAston Villa 210.48 0.38
These 5, combined 0.28 0.49

Recent matches

The last 10 games Levi Colwill featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brentford18 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hull City12 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Brighton30 Aug 72 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Fulham24 Aug 90 0 1 1 1 2 1
@ Sunderland24 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Liverpool9 May 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
Nottingham Forest4 May 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest25 May 90 1 1 2 0 0 0
Man Utd16 May 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Newcastle11 May 90 0 0 1 1 3 1
Officials on record
Chris Kavanagh 10 games Levi Colwill booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Oliver 7 games Levi Colwill booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
John Brooks 6 games Levi Colwill booked in 4 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Andy Madley 5 games Levi Colwill never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Levi Colwill have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Levi Colwill has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Levi Colwill average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Levi Colwill is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Levi Colwill get booked?

Levi Colwill is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Levi Colwill commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Levi Colwill commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Levi Colwill?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Levi Colwill plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.