Chris Kavanagh
Over the last 10 Premier League games Chris Kavanagh has officiated, the average is 5.50 cards a match — 35% above the league average of 4.08. That splits 5.3 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The home side sees more cards — 2.7 to 2.8 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 70% of those games (7 of 10), from a 23.7% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 23 awarded in 90 matches, 0.26 a game against a league average of 0.25. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Chris Kavanagh turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Kavanagh | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.23 | 4.08 |
| vs league | 1.04× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| Fouls / match | 21.8 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 23 in 90 | — |
| Red cards shown | 14 | — |
| Matches on record | 90 (3 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Chris Kavanagh took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace v Ipswich12 Sep | 2–3 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Arsenal v Chelsea6 Sep | 2–1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Bournemouth v Everton29 Aug | 1–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Sunderland v Chelsea24 May | 2–1 | 10 1 red | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Aston Villa v Liverpool15 May | 4–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| West Ham v Arsenal10 May | 0–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Newcastle v Brighton2 May | 3–1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Man Utd v Brentford27 Apr | 2–1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Chris Kavanagh give per game?
Chris Kavanagh averages 4.23 cards a game across 90 Premier League matches — 4% above the league average of 4.08. On a Chris Kavanagh appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.04.
Is Chris Kavanagh a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Chris Kavanagh runs at 19.4% against a league average of 18.6%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Chris Kavanagh's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Chris Kavanagh's card rate?
It rests on 90 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.