Chris Kavanagh
Chris Kavanagh has not taken charge of a Championship match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Championship games Chris Kavanagh has officiated, the average is 3.70 cards a match — 8% below the league average of 4.01. That's 3.7 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.9 to 1.8 a game, flatter than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 18.0% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Chris Kavanagh turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.
| Measure | Kavanagh | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.67 | 4.01 |
| vs league | 0.92× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| Fouls / match | 20.9 | 21.9 |
| Red cards shown | 0 | — |
| Matches on record | 12 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Championship games Chris Kavanagh took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United v Sunderland24 May | 1–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Norwich9 Apr | 2–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| Leicester v Middlesbrough17 Feb | 1–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| Millwall v Leeds17 Sep | 0–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Rotherham United v Sunderland21 Feb | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| Queens Park Rangers v Sunderland14 Feb | 0–3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 29 |
| Bristol City v Norwich11 Feb | 1–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| Sheffield United v Stoke City14 Jan | 3–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
● a red card in that match
Chris Kavanagh has officiated only 12 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.
Frequently asked
How many cards does Chris Kavanagh give per game?
Chris Kavanagh averages 3.67 cards a game across 12 Championship matches — 8% below the league average of 4.01. That's a raw rate from only 12 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.
Is Chris Kavanagh a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Chris Kavanagh runs at 17.5% against a league average of 18.3%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Chris Kavanagh's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Chris Kavanagh's card rate?
It rests on 12 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.