Championship referees — who books, and who lets it flow
Every card price has one official silently included in it — not one of the players. The appointment is public before kick-off, the record is measurable, and the effect on the cards markets is the largest single factor the model prices, larger than the derby, larger than the opponent. This page is the file: card and foul rates for every official on the current panel, with the sample sizes shown, because a tendency built on six matches is a rumour and one built on a hundred is a fact. The player cards guide explains how the model turns these numbers into a price.
Career rates across every season we hold, for each referee who took charge of a Championship match in 25/26. Deliberately not a next-season panel prediction — officials come and go every summer, so we profile who actually officiated. League averages: 4.01 cards and 21.9 fouls per match, a 18.4% foul-to-card conversion.
There are 29 referees on the current Championship panel with a meaningful record, plus 13 newer officials still building one. Ruebyn Ricardo is the strictest — 4.84 cards a match, 1.21× the league average of 4.01; David Webb is the most lenient at 3.18 a match. Ben Toner awards the most penalties, 0.26 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are career card rates across every season we hold, the referee-tendency map the cards model prices from — not a prediction.
The panel, strictest first
Two columns do the real work here. vs league is each referee's card rate against the average — the number the model multiplies a player's booking chance by. And conversion is the tell: foul counts barely vary between officials, but the share of fouls that become bookings varies a lot. A referee at the top of this table isn't seeing a dirtier game than one at the bottom, but reaching for the pocket where a colleague lower down would have a word. That distinction, not the raw whistle count, is where a card tendency lives.
Pens / match is the third column worth your time — how often each official awards a penalty, against a Championship average of 0.17 a game. Read it against that average and nothing else: the base rate differs by league, and a penalty is rare enough that even a full career of matches leaves a wide margin around the number. The model doesn't price penalties — this one is context, not a signal we bet on.
| Referee | Matches | 25/26 | Cards / match | vs league | Fouls / match | Conversion | Pens / match | Reds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruebyn Ricardo | 25 | 20 | 4.84 | 1.21× | 22.8 | 21.3% | 0.16 | 4 |
| Tim Robinson | 51 | 7 | 4.57 | 1.14× | 23.1 | 19.7% | 0.16 | 9 |
| Leigh Doughty | 72 | 19 | 4.54 | 1.13× | 21.1 | 21.5% | 0.18 | 9 |
| Stephen Martin | 96 | 24 | 4.50 | 1.12× | 23.1 | 19.5% | 0.12 | 7 |
| Anthony Backhouse | 54 | 25 | 4.48 | 1.12× | 21.6 | 20.7% | 0.15 | 4 |
| Elliot Bell | 17 | 12 | 4.47 | 1.11× | 22.6 | 19.8% | 0.06 | 1 |
| Ben Toner | 39 | 20 | 4.46 | 1.11× | 25.0 | 17.8% | 0.26 | 6 |
| Tony Harrington | 18 | 2 | 4.44 | 1.11× | 22.3 | 20.0% | 0.11 | 4 |
| Robert Madley | 60 | 10 | 4.40 | 1.10× | 21.2 | 20.8% | 0.20 | 14 |
| Matt Donohue | 107 | 25 | 4.37 | 1.09× | 23.2 | 18.9% | 0.16 | 16 |
| Thomas Kirk | 34 | 24 | 4.35 | 1.08× | 21.7 | 20.1% | 0.21 | 2 |
| Josh Smith | 102 | 27 | 4.09 | 1.02× | 21.8 | 18.8% | 0.20 | 16 |
| James Linington | 82 | 18 | 4.09 | 1.02× | 21.6 | 18.9% | 0.22 | 8 |
| James Bell | 67 | 12 | 3.96 | 0.99× | 20.4 | 19.3% | 0.16 | 8 |
| Tom Nield | 59 | 23 | 3.95 | 0.99× | 23.3 | 17.0% | 0.14 | 3 |
| Will Finnie | 23 | 7 | 3.91 | 0.98× | 20.8 | 18.8% | 0.13 | 1 |
| Adam Herczeg | 30 | 23 | 3.90 | 0.97× | 22.5 | 17.3% | 0.13 | 5 |
| Farai Hallam | 35 | 22 | 3.83 | 0.96× | 23.2 | 16.5% | 0.09 | 1 |
| John Busby | 97 | 20 | 3.82 | 0.95× | 21.3 | 18.0% | 0.13 | 8 |
| Thomas Bramall | 39 | 3 | 3.79 | 0.95× | 21.6 | 17.6% | 0.21 | 4 |
| Sam Allison | 61 | 18 | 3.77 | 0.94× | 22.0 | 17.1% | 0.08 | 3 |
| Gavin Ward | 103 | 24 | 3.75 | 0.94× | 21.0 | 17.8% | 0.16 | 14 |
| Oliver Langford | 99 | 21 | 3.74 | 0.93× | 20.8 | 18.0% | 0.16 | 17 |
| Lewis Smith | 50 | 25 | 3.70 | 0.92× | 20.8 | 17.8% | 0.16 | 2 |
| Dean Whitestone | 87 | 19 | 3.41 | 0.85× | 20.9 | 16.3% | 0.15 | 5 |
| Samuel Barrott | 28 | 1 | 3.21 | 0.80× | 20.4 | 15.7% | 0.25 | 2 |
| Andrew Kitchen | 75 | 25 | 3.20 | 0.80× | 22.8 | 14.0% | 0.17 | 7 |
| Michael Salisbury | 20 | 5 | 3.20 | 0.80× | 22.7 | 14.1% | 0.20 | 4 |
| David Webb | 114 | 25 | 3.18 | 0.79× | 20.7 | 15.4% | 0.15 | 12 |
The newer officials — small samples, read gently
These referees took charge in 25/26 but haven't yet built a record worth betting on — under 15 career matches, a card rate is mostly noise wearing a decimal point. The model treats them exactly as this table presents them: shrunk toward the league average and carrying a confidence discount until the evidence arrives. We'd rather show you a thin sample labelled honestly than a confident number that hasn't been earned.
| Referee | Matches | 25/26 | Cards / match | Fouls / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Duckworth | 6 | 6 | 5.83 | 21.7 |
| Thomas Parsons | 2 | 2 | 5.50 | 26.0 |
| John Brooks | 12 | 4 | 5.17 | 25.6 |
| Andy Madley | 13 | 4 | 4.69 | 24.0 |
| Craig Pawson | 10 | 1 | 4.50 | 23.7 |
| Simon Hooper | 10 | 1 | 4.50 | 22.9 |
| Robert Jones | 11 | 3 | 4.18 | 24.3 |
| Jacob Miles | 3 | 3 | 3.67 | 16.3 |
| Paul Tierney | 8 | 6 | 3.63 | 23.4 |
| Jarred Gillett | 13 | 2 | 3.46 | 21.1 |
| Tom Reeves | 7 | 7 | 3.43 | 19.9 |
| Benjamin Speedie | 10 | 7 | 2.60 | 20.6 |
| Matthew Corlett | 4 | 4 | 2.50 | 19.5 |
How Championship compares
The Championship is the most lenient of the leagues we cover — 4.01 cards a match against La Liga's 4.88, and the fewest fouls at 21.9 a game.
| League | Cards / match | Fouls / match | Penalties / match | Foul → card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 4.09 | 21.9 | 0.25 | 18.7% |
| Championship you're here | 4.01 | 21.9 | 0.17 | 18.4% |
| La Liga | 4.88 | 25.4 | 0.32 | 19.2% |
| Serie A | 4.21 | 24.8 | 0.30 | 17.0% |
Career rates across every season we hold, built the same way in each league. Stricter isn't better or worse — it's the baseline each referee on this page is measured against.
Not on the 25/26 panel
These career records still stand, and the model still uses each one for the matches it covers — these officials just aren't taking Championship matches in 25/26.
David Coote retired · Anthony Taylor retired · Keith Stroud · Andy Davies · Darren Bond · Jeremy Simpson · Geoff Eltringham · Graham Scott · Darren England · Andy Woolmer · Rebecca Welch · Sunny Sukhvir Gill · Chris Kavanagh · Peter Bankes · Stuart Attwell · Andre Marriner · Scott Oldham · Charles Breakspear · Alex Chilowicz · Martin Coy · Michael Oliver · Sebastian Stockbridge
What to do with this
A referee tendency tips a bet; it doesn't decide one. The archetypal card edge is a confluence — a combative midfielder, a strict official, a fixture with an edge to it — and the referee column is one input among several, applied to a player's own booking rate rather than replacing it. It's also worth saying plainly: the referee effect is strongest in the player to-be-carded market, and cards stay the hardest thing we price — in every league we cover, at least one card line (sometimes match totals, sometimes individual bookings) comes out no better than the base rate, and our public track record names which rather than hiding it. Anyone selling referee stats as a printing press is selling the fun half.
Frequently asked
How many referees are there in the Championship?
The table above lists every official who took charge of a Championship match in 25/26 and has built a meaningful record, with the newer ones shown separately rather than mixed in. The panel churns every summer, so the honest answer is whoever actually officiated — which is what this page shows, updated as the season runs.
Who is the strictest referee in the Championship?
The one at the top of the table — it's sorted by cards per match, and the opening paragraph names that official, with the rate against the league average. Worth reading with the conversion column next to it: the strictest official isn't seeing a dirtier game, but reaching for the pocket where a colleague would have a word.
Do referees really move card prices?
More than any other single factor in the player cards market. Among Championship officials with a meaningful sample, card rates run from roughly 10% below the league average to 10% above it — and because the appointment is public before kick-off, it's measurable in advance. The modelling guide on player cards walks through exactly how we use it.
Why is this the 25/26 panel?
Because it's the one we can stand behind. The panel churns every summer — promotions, retirements, removals — so a page of officials nobody has appointed yet is partly fiction, and a season only a few matches old can't tell you who is on it either. We profile the officials who actually took charge of a Championship match in 25/26, with career numbers across every season we hold, and the page moves on once the new season has enough behind it.
What does the conversion column mean?
The share of fouls that become cards under each referee. It's the honest way to separate strict from whistle-happy: foul counts barely vary between officials, but the rate at which a foul turns into a booking varies a lot — that's where a referee's real card tendency lives.
Does the model use these exact numbers?
Nearly. The model uses each referee's card tendency relative to the league, shrunk toward neutral when the sample is thin, and it discounts its own confidence for officials with young records — the same caution the small-sample table below wears openly.
Descriptive rates from public match data, shown with sample sizes for context. The model applies shrinkage and a confidence discount before any of this touches a price, and grades itself in public on the track record. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.