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Championship referee · card profile
MA

Matthew Corlett

Championship referee · 4 matches on record · 12.8% conversion

Over the last 4 Championship games Matthew Corlett has officiated, the average is 2.50 cards a match — 38% below the league average of 4.01. That splits 2.2 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 1 of the 4. The away side sees more cards — 1.8 to 0.8 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 0% of those games (0 of 4), from a 12.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 4 on record

Match cards last 4 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Matthew Corlett's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 4

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Matthew Corlett turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.

MeasureCorlett League avg
Cards / match2.50 4.01
vs league0.62× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion12.8% 18.4%
Fouls / match19.5 21.9
Red cards shown1
Matches on record4 (4 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 4 Championship games Matthew Corlett took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRFouls
Oxford United v West Brom28 Feb 2–1 2 2 0 26
Watford v Swansea City31 Jan 0–2 4 3 1 21
Derby County v Wrexham4 Jan 1–2 3 3 0 17
Norwich v Watford29 Dec 0–1 1 1 0 14

Matthew Corlett has officiated only 4 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.

Frequently asked

How many cards does Matthew Corlett give per game?

Matthew Corlett averages 2.50 cards a game across 4 Championship matches — 38% below the league average of 4.01. That's a raw rate from only 4 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.

Is Matthew Corlett a strict referee?

No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Matthew Corlett runs at 12.8% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Matthew Corlett's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Matthew Corlett's card rate?

It rests on 4 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.