Paul Tierney
Over the last 10 Championship games Paul Tierney has officiated, the average is 3.60 cards a match — 10% below the league average of 4.01. That splits 3.5 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.0 to 1.6 a game, in line with the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of those games (4 of 10), from a 14.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Paul Tierney turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.
| Measure | Tierney | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.60 | 4.01 |
| vs league | 0.90× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| Fouls / match | 24.3 | 21.9 |
| Red cards shown | 1 | — |
| Matches on record | 10 (2 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Championship games Paul Tierney took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall v West Ham19 Sep | 2–2 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| Middlesbrough v West Brom29 Aug | 3–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
| Bristol City v Preston North End4 Jan | 0–2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Portsmouth v Charlton Athletic29 Dec | 2–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 27 |
| Ipswich v Coventry City6 Dec | 3–0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 23 |
| Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers21 Nov | 1–2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| Watford v Bristol City7 Nov | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Oxford United25 Oct | 1–2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
● a red card in that match
Paul Tierney has officiated only 10 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.
Frequently asked
How many cards does Paul Tierney give per game?
Paul Tierney averages 3.60 cards a game across 10 Championship matches — 10% below the league average of 4.01. That's a raw rate from only 10 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.
Is Paul Tierney a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Paul Tierney runs at 14.8% against a league average of 18.3%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Paul Tierney's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Paul Tierney's card rate?
It rests on 10 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.