Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Preston North End beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Jusef Erabi for 1+ shots total (92%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Odeluga Offiah for 1+ tackles (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jusef Erabi | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Odeluga Offiah | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jayden Fevrier | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Oladapo Afolayan | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Callum Lang | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oladapo Afolayan | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kristi Montgomery | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adam Forshaw | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Leo Leroy | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Alfie Devine | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stanley Mills | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Lang | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leo Leroy | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 60% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 47% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Preston North End Feb 2026
- Preston North End 1–2 Blackburn Rovers Nov 2025
- Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Preston North End Jan 2025
- Preston North End 0–0 Blackburn Rovers Sep 2024
- Preston North End 2–2 Blackburn Rovers Feb 2024
- Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Preston North End Nov 2023
- Preston North End 1–1 Blackburn Rovers Apr 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 1–4 Preston North End Dec 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers?
The most confident call it got wrong was Odeluga Offiah at 89% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.