Paul Tierney
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Paul Tierney has averaged 3.50 cards a match — 14% below the league average of 4.09. That splits 3.3 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more of them — 2.0 to 1.5 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of them (3 of 10), and he turned 17.2% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 11 penalties in 66 matches, 0.17 a game against a league average of 0.25. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Paul Tierney turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Tierney | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.79 | 4.09 |
| vs league | 0.93× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 11 in 66 | — |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 66 (12 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Paul Tierney took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Burnley18 May | 1–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Nottingham Forest v Newcastle10 May | 1–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Wolves v Sunderland2 May | 1–1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Brentford v Fulham18 Apr | 0–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Man Utd v Leeds13 Apr | 1–2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Aston Villa v West Ham22 Mar | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Chelsea v Newcastle14 Mar | 0–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Wolves v Arsenal18 Feb | 2–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Paul Tierney give per game?
Paul Tierney averages 3.79 cards a game across 66 Premier League matches — 7% below the league average of 4.09. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.93.
Is Paul Tierney a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Paul Tierney runs at 17.9% against a league average of 18.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Paul Tierney's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Paul Tierney's card rate?
It rests on 66 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.