Paul Tierney
Over the last 10 Premier League games Paul Tierney has officiated, the average is 3.00 cards a match — 26% below the league average of 4.08. That splits 2.8 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.8 to 1.2 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 14.5% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 11 awarded in 67 matches, 0.16 a game against a league average of 0.25. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Paul Tierney turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Tierney | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.74 | 4.08 |
| vs league | 0.92× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 11 in 67 | — |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 68 (2 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Paul Tierney took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City v Coventry City5 Sep | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Everton v Crystal Palace22 Aug | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 20 |
| Arsenal v Burnley18 May | 1–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Nottingham Forest v Newcastle10 May | 1–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Wolves v Sunderland2 May | 1–1 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Brentford v Fulham18 Apr | 0–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Man Utd v Leeds13 Apr | 1–2 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Aston Villa v West Ham22 Mar | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Paul Tierney give per game?
Paul Tierney averages 3.74 cards a game across 68 Premier League matches — 8% below the league average of 4.08. On a Paul Tierney appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.92.
Is Paul Tierney a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Paul Tierney runs at 17.6% against a league average of 18.6%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Paul Tierney's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Paul Tierney's card rate?
It rests on 68 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.