Adam Herczeg
Over the last 10 Championship games Adam Herczeg has officiated, the average is 2.80 cards a match — 30% below the league average of 4.01. That's 2.8 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. Home and away sides fare about the same here (1.4 v 1.4 a game), where the league tilts +0.4 toward the away side. 5+ cards landed in 10% of those games (1 of 10), from a 13.3% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 5 awarded in 34 matches, 0.15 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Adam Herczeg turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.
| Measure | Herczeg | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.85 | 4.01 |
| vs league | 0.96× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Fouls / match | 22.5 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 5 in 34 | — |
| Red cards shown | 5 | — |
| Matches on record | 34 (4 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Championship games Adam Herczeg took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough v Norwich12 Sep | 4–3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Birmingham City v Wolves6 Sep | 2–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Southampton v Millwall29 Aug | 5–1 | 3 1 pen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End15 Aug | 2–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Middlesbrough v Watford25 Apr | 5–1 | 3 1 pen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Wrexham v Stoke City18 Apr | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Ipswich v Birmingham City6 Apr | 2–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Watford v Wrexham17 Mar | 3–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Adam Herczeg give per game?
Adam Herczeg averages 3.85 cards a game across 34 Championship matches — 4% below the league average of 4.01. On an Adam Herczeg appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.96.
Is Adam Herczeg a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Adam Herczeg runs at 17.1% against a league average of 18.3%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Adam Herczeg's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Adam Herczeg's card rate?
It rests on 34 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.