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Championship referee · card profile
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Gavin Ward

Championship referee · 103 matches on record · 17.8% conversion

Over the last 10 Championship games Gavin Ward has officiated, the average is 3.40 cards a match — 15% below the league average of 4.01. That splits 3.3 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.9 to 1.5 a game, in line with the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of those games (4 of 10), from a 15.8% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 16 awarded in 103 matches, 0.16 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Gavin Ward's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Gavin Ward turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.

MeasureWard League avg
Cards / match3.75 4.01
vs league0.94× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion17.8% 18.4%
Fouls / match21.0 21.9
Penalties awarded / match0.16 0.17
Penalties awarded (total)16 in 103
Red cards shown14
Matches on record103 (24 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Championship games Gavin Ward took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Hull City v Millwall8 May 0–0 1 1 0 0 17
Ipswich v Queens Park Rangers2 May 3–0 3 3 0 0 24
Portsmouth v Leicester18 Apr 1–0 5 5 0 0 23
Wrexham v Southampton7 Apr 1–5 5 5 0 0 22
Derby County v Birmingham City21 Mar 1–0 5 5 0 0 28
Norwich v Preston North End14 Mar 2–0 2 2 0 0 23
Portsmouth v Swansea City10 Mar 1–2 3 3 0 0 19
Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton28 Feb 1–3 1 1 0 0 23

Frequently asked

How many cards does Gavin Ward give per game?

Gavin Ward averages 3.75 cards a game across 103 Championship matches — 6% below the league average of 4.01. On a Gavin Ward appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.94.

Is Gavin Ward a strict referee?

No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Gavin Ward runs at 17.8% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Gavin Ward's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Gavin Ward's card rate?

It rests on 103 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.