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Championship referee · card profile
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Ben Toner

Championship referee · 39 matches on record · 17.8% conversion

Over the last 10 Championship games Ben Toner has officiated, the average is 3.50 cards a match — 13% below the league average of 4.01. That's 3.5 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.2 to 1.3 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 14.8% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 10 awarded in 39 matches, 0.26 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 39 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Ben Toner's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Ben Toner turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.

MeasureToner League avg
Cards / match4.46 4.01
vs league1.11× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion17.8% 18.4%
Fouls / match25.0 21.9
Penalties awarded / match0.26 0.17
Penalties awarded (total)10 in 39
Red cards shown6
Matches on record39 (20 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Championship games Ben Toner took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Bristol City v Stoke City2 May 2–0 4 4 0 0 20
Birmingham City v Preston North End22 Apr 2–1 2 2 0 0 20
Charlton Athletic v Bristol City3 Apr 1–2 5 5 0 0 27
Southampton v Oxford United21 Mar 2–0 3 3 0 0 21
Norwich v Sheffield United11 Mar 2–1 4 4 0 0 18
Preston North End v Millwall28 Feb 0–2 5 5 0 0 26
Watford v Ipswich24 Feb 0–2 5 5 0 1 30
Leicester v Southampton10 Feb 3–4 1 1 0 0 24

Frequently asked

How many cards does Ben Toner give per game?

Ben Toner averages 4.46 cards a game across 39 Championship matches — 11% above the league average of 4.01. On a Ben Toner appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.11.

Is Ben Toner a strict referee?

No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Ben Toner runs at 17.8% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Ben Toner's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Ben Toner's card rate?

It rests on 39 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.