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Championship referee · card profile
WI

Will Finnie

Championship referee · 23 matches on record · 18.8% conversion

Over the last 10 Championship games Will Finnie has officiated, the average is 3.80 cards a match — 5% below the league average of 4.01. That splits 3.7 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.4 to 1.4 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of those games (4 of 10), from a 18.3% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 3 awarded in 23 matches, 0.13 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 23 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Will Finnie's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Will Finnie turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.

MeasureFinnie League avg
Cards / match3.91 4.01
vs league0.98× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion18.8% 18.4%
Fouls / match20.8 21.9
Penalties awarded / match0.13 0.17
Penalties awarded (total)3 in 23
Red cards shown1
Matches on record23 (7 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Championship games Will Finnie took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Swansea City v Charlton Athletic2 May 3–1 0 0 0 0 19
Charlton Athletic v Norwich21 Mar 0–1 4 4 0 0 13
Swansea City v Bristol City21 Feb 1–0 6 6 0 0 25
Oxford United v Queens Park Rangers20 Jan 0–0 3 3 0 0 24
Wrexham v Norwich17 Jan 1–2 1 1 0 0 16
Ipswich v Oxford United1 Jan 2–1 5 5 0 0 21
West Brom v Bristol City26 Dec 1–2 4 4 0 0 24
Norwich v Cardiff City3 May 4–2 6 5 1 1 22

Frequently asked

How many cards does Will Finnie give per game?

Will Finnie averages 3.91 cards a game across 23 Championship matches — roughly below the league average of 4.01. On a Will Finnie appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.98.

Is Will Finnie a strict referee?

About average. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Will Finnie runs at 18.8% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Will Finnie's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Will Finnie's card rate?

It rests on 23 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.