Will Finnie
Over the last 10 Championship games Will Finnie has officiated, the average is 3.20 cards a match — 20% below the league average of 4.01. That splits 2.9 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.2 to 1.0 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 14.9% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 3 awarded in 26 matches, 0.12 a game against a league average of 0.17. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Will Finnie turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Championship season on record.
| Measure | Finnie | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.01 |
| vs league | 0.95× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| Fouls / match | 21.3 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 3 in 26 | — |
| Red cards shown | 4 | — |
| Matches on record | 27 (4 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Championship games Will Finnie took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall v Bolton Wanderers5 Sep | 4–0 | 3 2 red | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Lincoln City v Blackburn Rovers1 Sep | 0–0 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Birmingham City v Bristol City22 Aug | 2–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — | 25 |
| Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers15 Aug | 1–3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Swansea City v Charlton Athletic2 May | 3–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Charlton Athletic v Norwich21 Mar | 0–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Swansea City v Bristol City21 Feb | 1–0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Oxford United v Queens Park Rangers20 Jan | 0–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Will Finnie give per game?
Will Finnie averages 3.81 cards a game across 27 Championship matches — 5% below the league average of 4.01. On a Will Finnie appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.95.
Is Will Finnie a strict referee?
About average. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Will Finnie runs at 17.9% against a league average of 18.3%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Will Finnie's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Will Finnie's card rate?
It rests on 27 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.