Bournemouth v Everton
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Bournemouth drew with Everton 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Tyrique George for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Hayden Hackney for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrique George | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Hayden Hackney | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Beto | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| James Garner | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adrien Truffert | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Adams | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Merlin Röhl | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marcus Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rayan | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 5 | ✓ |
| Evanilson | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thierno Barry | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thierno Barry | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Iliman Ndiaye | tackles | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lewis Cook | tackles | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 57% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 57% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 27% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Everton 1–2 Bournemouth Feb 2026
- Bournemouth 0–1 Everton Dec 2025
- Bournemouth 1–0 Everton Jan 2025
- Everton 2–3 Bournemouth Aug 2024
- Bournemouth 2–1 Everton Mar 2024
- Everton 3–0 Bournemouth Oct 2023
- Everton 1–0 Bournemouth May 2023
- Bournemouth 3–0 Everton Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Bournemouth v Everton?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Bournemouth v Everton?
The most confident call it got wrong was Hayden Hackney at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Premier League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.