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Premier League 26/27
RO

Roméo Lavia

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
4.30MGMEdge
Total shots0.89 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
2.05MGMEdge
Fouls won1.61 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.25 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.25PPEdge
Tackles2.14 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
4.33PPEdge
Goals0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Roméo Lavia has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Roméo Lavia in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 87 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Roméo LaviaChelsea 120.72 1.91
Harrison ArmstrongEverton 130.84 1.01
Freddie PottsClub Brugge KV 220.23 1.16
Carlos BalebaManchester United 311.07 1.66
Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace 280.90 1.42
Andrey SantosManchester United 270.77 0.91
These 5, combined 0.79 1.30

Recent matches

The last 10 games Roméo Lavia featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Hull City12 Sep 69 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Arsenal6 Sep 60 0 0 0 3 1 0
Brighton30 Aug 68 1 1 0 2 1 0
@ Fulham24 Aug 65 1 1 1 0 3 1
Nottingham Forest4 May 58 0 1 1 1 3 0
@ Brighton21 Apr 73 0 1 0 2 0 0
Man Utd18 Apr 2 0 0 1 1 0 0
Man City12 Apr 23 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Everton21 Mar 57 0 1 1 0 2 0
Newcastle14 Mar 29 0 0 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 6 games Roméo Lavia booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 6 games Roméo Lavia never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
John Brooks 4 games Roméo Lavia booked in 2 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Michael Salisbury 4 games Roméo Lavia booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Roméo Lavia have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Roméo Lavia has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Roméo Lavia average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Roméo Lavia is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 0.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Roméo Lavia get booked?

Roméo Lavia is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Roméo Lavia commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Roméo Lavia commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 1.61 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Roméo Lavia?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Roméo Lavia plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.